The Resistance

Sorry to all, sorry to Escath.

Personally I think that one of Weeman and Blunder is a spy. If Weeman is a spy, Blunder is innocent and if Blunder is a spy, Weeman is innocent imo (due to what Blunder said about Weeman wouldn't pick Blunder if he was a spy and knew that Blunder was a spy as well). I could see Tart choosing to throw himself in with Weeman/Blunder and potentially failing it himself but it definitely draws attention to himself so it's a risky move in an inexperienced game. N/11 to do the same thing if he was the spy would be very attention-drawing as well imo.

So I think there's 1 spy in this group. Two situations. Me and N/11 are fine, one of Weeman/Blunder will fail it. Otherwise if Weeman/Blunder are both innocent, N/11 has to be a spy but there is 3 innocents so it won't fail. If Weeman and Blunder are both spies then I've been outplayed big time.

Blake
Weeman
Blunder
Number 11

 

Also slight possibility of course that N/11 and one of Weeman/Blunder are spies. But again as a spy I'm not sure if he'd risk sending 2 as it can give a lot of information away, it also seems a bit fluky that one of them chose to pass and one chose to fail.

 

Putting it forward

 

Votes/discussion/whatever please.

 

I'd be more active if I was a spy. As this is my first game I'm not so invested in it to create a strategy which I go afk for a few days annoying Escath and co. WIFOM all you want but think about it.

 

24 hours to vote.

 

Not enough no votes. Think only Tart and Ritchie said no.

Spies win, since Weeman and N11 were both spies. Third one was Teacups.

 

WAC N11

 

One thing that's quite obvious (and has been a big issue in mafia scumtelling afaic) is that people don't appreciate how important it is to take note of voting. It's even more important in this because there are no roles as such and the only thing the resistance has going for them is larger numbers. Here are some of my thoughts on strategy here.

Let's just take the very first group that is proposed as an example. No matter what, if you are in the resistance and you're not in the group, you should not accept the first group. Why? Because you have absolutely no information other than that you yourself are not a spy. In a 7 person game such as this, this means the of the remaining six, three are spies and three are resistance. Two people are required to go on the first mission. What are the chances that they contain all resistance? It's simply 3/6*2/5 = 6/30 = 1/5 = 20%. You have a 20% chance that the first group is a good group to go with. If people are afraid of lynching townies in mafia when there is an estimated 75% of mislynching (given a 1-in-3 mafia to townie ratio) why the hell would you risk the 80% chance of sending a spy on the first mission? This is where the counterplay can come in.

If you always just blindly vote yes, then there is no counterplay required for the spies to win. They wouldn't even need the advantage of knowing who are spies and who aren't spies. They only need the fact that the chances of the resistance getting it right more times than not is very, very low.