Please be as brutally honest as you can be. Lockyer is gone. One game has been moved from Sydney to Melbourne. The team that wins in Melbourne has always won the series and it's the first game there which touches on another stat - The team that wins game one goes on to win the series 3/4 of the time. I think we'll see sides roughly like this for Game 1, which will be, as I've just adumbrated above, the most important and signal match of the series. Thus, getting it right first time is extremely important. NSW 1.Dugan/Stewart/Minichiello 2.Akuila Uate 3.Jennings/Hayne 4.Lawrence/Jorris 5.Hayne/Borris 6.Soward/Campese/Carney 7.Pearce/Gidley 8.Gallen (c) 9.Ennis/Buderus/Farah 10.Mannah 11.Lewis 12.Creagh/Scott 13.Bird 14.Gidley 15.Watmough 16.Stewart 17.Galloway/TLL/Snowden/King/White/(Could be anyone who shows a little form). I won't be surprised to see blokes like King, Hoffman or Dean Young in there if they play well next year. NSW is such a lottery. TLL is where he is because Stuart clearly doesn't rate him as we do, based on him not even making the team when he was available this year. vs QLD 1.Slater 2.Boyd 3.Inglis 4.Hodges 5.Yow Yeh 6.Thurston 7.Cronk 8.Scott 9.Smith 10.Civoniceva 11.Myles 12.Thaiday 13.Harrison 14.Cherry-Evans/Gillett/Ballin/Berrigan 15.Parker 16.Shillington 17.Taylor/Hannant/Lillyman/Costigan
This is NSW's best chance in quite a while IMO. QLD will start of poorly, thinking that it'll be another easy series as always (and we've been doing it for at least 3 years now), likely lose one of the first two games, group together and win the series.
As you said will really depend on game 1. Leaning toward QLD atm purely because I'm expecting a shit origin 1 team/attitude and them getting their shit together in game two which will be too little too late. I'd feel more confident if game 3 was in Melbourne.
Will be a pretty close series, I would be happy to see Thurston back at 6, he carved up there in 2008. I think QLD will win the series, despite Lockyer being gone I like the look of the team still.
You didn't even need to post it in the first place. It's not a stat - it's basic probability/common sense. Perhaps if there was an anomaly in the stat it would be worth posting - such as if the team that won the first game only went on to win the series 60% of the time, but as it is, it is pointless.