Super Rugby 2016

Discussion in 'Rugby Union Discussion' started by Fiery, Feb 13, 2016.

  1. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    Cool I may make my analysis when I hear more about who is on the Chiefs team from a loose forwards perspective in a worst case scenario then Chiefs will be fielding a noob at number 7 and they will get thrashed.
     
  2. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    from my other site
     
  3. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    Landers to beat the Lions based on Peyper beibg the ref, I will be getting my bets on tomorrow once I know more about Sam Cane
     
  4. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    [MENTION=2357]Rego[/MENTION]

    If I were you Rego I would be making a voodoo doll of Sam Cane, because if he and Leitch both play then Vito and Savea will need to be at their very best to counter them.
     
  5. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Ok so I'm going to say the Landers to beat the Lions, it's hard to do any real analysis without lineups but the Lions were flattered by a disminishing Saders side. The one thing against the Landers is the travel factor but they should get up for this one.

    Re Canes v Chiefs. This is the Canes game to lose really, the Chiefs having to go to SA and back kills them a bit. Still lots of news around injuries for both teams which could sway some things but provided the Canes make use of their opportunities I can't see the Chiefs winning this one.

    Regarding Cane, really can't see him being much hassle, he always seems to go missing in these NZ games and once again Savea will prove he's the better 7. I'm going to go as far to say that the Canes loose forwards > Chiefs. My main concern from a Canes perspective now is our front row, our scrum won't be anywhere near as strong as the last time we met.

    Backline can be anyone's given the day really. Both teams have the players there. Barrett's in the form of his life, he played probably the best game I've ever seen him play last weekend. Woodward deserves another start ahead of Savea and hopefully Proctor's fit.

    A lot of people are just writing the Canes off for it being the Canes but this team is in some serious form and peaking at the right time, won the last 6 and the last 5 have been against the Highlander's, Blues, Tahs, Saders and the Sharks - that's no easy schedule. This is probably the best performing (overall) Canes team I've seen - we're actually playing a lot more structurally and as a team.

    Only way I really see the Chiefs winning is through the set piece which has notably been shaky for the Canes.
     
  6. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    I think the major factor that no one is talking about is that you have Vito. He is making a major difference. Probably even if we get leitch and Cane back we will still be in tough.

    I think calling it the canes game to lose is inaccurate. This game isn't even a 60/40 call it is right at the margins

    Don't forget rego we actually won last time we played and sheer adrenaline should be enough to counter jet lag. Plus the boys got home yesterday and probably trained today.
     
  7. Rego RS Hutchinson

    By Canes game to lose I mean they have the home play offs, didn't have to travel etc.

    We did lose yes but definitely performed better, on any other day that was a Canes win so I'd be happy if both teams put the same performances in. They won't, it'll be a much different game. A lot of people are reading into that game but I don't think you can take all that much from it, this time of the season.

    Sounds like Cane's going to start. Leitch unlikely. I'd say Coles is unlikely too.
     
  8. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/news/article.cfm?c_id=4&objectid=11682310

    He's in [MENTION=2357]Rego[/MENTION] [MENTION=168]Fiery[/MENTION]
     
    Last edited: Jul 27, 2016
  9. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    I've got $10 on chiefs +3.5 @1.87

    and I won't be betting on the Landers match. I can see the Lions easily winning, and I can see the Landers easily winning. I have no clue who will win. I think the Lions at home with a partisan crowd will be tough and the Landers have been eating hotel food for two weeks now.

    LAnders vs the Lions in Dunedin then you would expect the Landers to win by 15+

    But SA sides at home are twice as good. I call this a 50/50 match right down the middle.
     
  10. Droos JP Rhodes

    Canes and Lions to proceed.
     
  11. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Yeah I'll probably put some money on a Chiefs Handicap too - if the Canes make it to the final I'm guranteed some $$$ and if they go all the way even more $$$ so it'd be a sure bet essentially with the chance to make the profit larger should the Canes still win with the handicap winning.

    Have a lil bit of money on the Landers too - it really is a 50/50 game though.
     
  12. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    [TABLE="class: betslip-body, width: 297"]
    <colgroup class="cnorder" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><col class="cn cnorder-num" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: center; width: 1em; vertical-align: top;"><col class="cn-radio cnorder-radio" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 10px; vertical-align: top;"><col class="c2 cnorder-selection" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 1.5em 0px 7px; width: 100em; vertical-align: top;"><col class="c3 cnorder-odds" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; width: 1em; vertical-align: top;"></colgroup><thead class="greyhead" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">[TR="class: cnorder"]
    [TD="class: cn sortable headerSortDown cnorder-num, align: center"]No.
    [/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]
    [/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 sortable cnorder-selection"]Selection
    [/TD]
    [TD="class: c3 sortable cnorder-odds"]Odds
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    </thead><tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">[TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="1" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR -23.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]8.00[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="2" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS +23.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.04[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]3[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="3" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR -18.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]5.25[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]4[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="4" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS +18.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.12[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]5[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="5" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR -13.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]3.50[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]6[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="6" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS +13.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.25[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]7[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="7" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR -8.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]2.35[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]8[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="8" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS +8.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.52[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]9[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="9" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR +1.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.42[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]10[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="10" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS -1.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]2.60[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]11[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="11" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR +6.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.20[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]12[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="12" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS -6.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]4.00[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]13[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="13" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR +11.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.08[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]14[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="14" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS -11.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]6.50[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]15[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="15" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HURR +16.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.03[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]16[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="16" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]CHFS -16.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]10.00[/TD]
    [/TR]
    </tbody>[/TABLE]
    [MENTION=2357]Rego[/MENTION] - does chiefs plus 8.5 mean what I thin it means? Ie that chiefs can lose by 8 and still win me the bet?
     
  13. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Correct. I'll probably be hitting something similar.
     
  14. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    Cheers [MENTION=2357]Rego[/MENTION] - I will be betting somehow on the following table too

    [TABLE="class: betslip-body, width: 296"]
    <tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">[TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="1" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION -20.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]8.00[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="2" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH +20.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.04[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]3[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="3" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION -15.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]5.75[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]4[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="4" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH +15.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.10[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]5[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="5" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION -10.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]3.80[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]6[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="6" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH +10.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.22[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]7[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="7" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION -5.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]2.55[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]8[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="8" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH +5.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.45[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]9[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="9" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION +4.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.52[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]10[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="10" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH -4.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]2.35[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]11[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="11" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION +9.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.27[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]12[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="12" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH -9.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]3.40[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]13[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="13" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION +14.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.13[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]14[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="14" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH -14.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]5.00[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder odd, bgcolor: #F7EFDA"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]15[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="15" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]LION +19.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]1.05[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR="class: cnorder even"]
    [TD="class: cn cnorder-num, align: center"]16[/TD]
    [TD="class: cn-radio cnorder-radio"]<input name="selection" type="radio" value="16" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-left: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle; font-family: Arial, &quot;Nimbus Sans L&quot;, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 11px;">[/TD]
    [TD="class: c2 cnorder-selection"]HIGH -19.5[/TD]
    [TD="class: odds-fpw c3 cnorder-odds, align: right"]7.50[/TD]
    [/TR]
    </tbody>[/TABLE]
     
  15. Rego RS Hutchinson

    I'm iffy about the handicaps for this game - really reckon you're best to just pick a winner. Regardless if I had to I'd go Landers +5.5 at $1.45 based on that.
     
  16. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    Alright talk to me [MENTION=2357]Rego[/MENTION] why do you think the Landers will win?
    I was reading today that they could fall apart from all the travel. It wasn't that long ago that they were in Argentina and by all accounts ( i didn't watch the game) they struggled against yer Brumbies due to having very little in the tank.
     
  17. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    I seem to have stumped you Rego in the meantime - what do you make of this news - who is Cronje? is he decent

     
  18. Rego RS Hutchinson

    I don't think the weather helped them in that game. I think everyone would agree that if this game was in NZ or even a neutral stadium, the Landers win.

    Yes the travel won't help the Landers cause but whilst that may impact on them, I don't think you'll see the full impact it has until the finals provided they make it.

    The Landers know how to win these kinds of games, the Lions don't. The Lions play very sporadic and I think that will be their downfall. Tactically speaking the Landers are probably the best team in the comp in that area, they'll match the Lions' attack and their defence should stay strong. The Lions are very much a team that need things to go their way or else they're screwed, the Landers don't need that. You watch, the Landers should control this game and I can't see the Lions really being able to counter it. The home advantage etc. should mean this is closer than it otherwise would have been.

    I think I'll write a proper analysis up tomorrow of the games rather than just a generalised one. This game is 55/45 in the Landers favour and given that, the value is in the Landers to win betting wise.
     
  19. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Cronje's been a good distributor, the bigger blow is in Whiteley being out though.
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2016
  20. Hurricane JD Hurricane

    Whiteley has hardly been playing for them though and they still did well.

    Anyway having read your write up it reinforces for me that I would be ill advised to tip an outright winner as I havn't seen a single lions match this year and have only read match reports.

    I will probably go landers + 15.5 as part of a uber safe multi.
     

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