Rego's Betting Thread

What was that one? Same as my 7 fold?

 

I know I said to keep away from the Kuznetsov game at 1.44 odds (which is true, was too low) put this bet on in-play when he lost the 2nd (more realistic worth) which just won



He completed another multi I ended up betting on (in-play) which profited $30. Very very solid, those 2 original multis to run which should definitely win. A very very solid day.

 

Oh yeah, still decent odds!

 

Murray you cunt

 

Hard luck Mouse. I guess the Murray 3-0 bet would have been what made the odds higher (raised them) but Sousa wins the 2nd set

 

Yeah, for him to win was 1/66. Sousa has never won a serve on hard court against him, till today. Was worth the gamble to push the odds up at 3-0

 

Gonna chuck something on Daria next match ?

 

She's travelling bloody well so far. I haven't looked at the odds but I'd say Suarez Navarro is still the slight favourite, if you're gonna hit Daria up the handicap could be a good option, I'd say. If I was gonna hit it up I'd go with Daria, her form validates that bet. That being said if I do decide to hit it up pre game, it won't be a big portion. If you're gonna be watching it and want to take a punt I'd go Daria or her handicap if it's good value, no more than a typical small bet for you (maybe a tenner or fiver?). I'd say I'm 55/45 on that one (need to include the women tennis factor) on it so probably won't hit it pre game unless the odds are whack, in-play is a possibility. Certainly wouldn't hit it up in a big multi but no doubt some good value there so go for if you're keen.

 

Yea might check the odds in the morning, but still worth a 10er imo

 

Just checked the odds:

Navarro 1.81
Gavrilova 2.00

def worth a 10er

 

Woah yes definitely, was expecting a 1.75-1.80/ 1.90-1.95 split. Just checked William Hill are offering Daria at 2.10 which is even better so if you have an account with them hit them up.

 

Cheers Tomic, all pre game bets won as well as all in-play bets won for the day

 

Sooo this is my total profit levels for the year so far:

[TABLE="width: 378"]
<colgroup><col span="7"></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD="colspan: 3"]Concluded Bets[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Net Profit[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Return[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 3"] $ 4,001.14[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] $ 629.91[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: right"]15.74%
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


$630!!!!! :o I guess the Aus Open accounts for a lot and if that wasn't on it'd no doubt be less but fuck wasn't expecting I'd be doing this well so early on. Goes to show how important tracking bets is. Crazy to think that even if I adopt a 5% of profit rule for bet stakes, that's $31.50!!! My average betting size is no where near that....

[TABLE="width: 483"]
<colgroup><col span="7"><col><col></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]All Bets[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Won Bets[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Lost Bets[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 3"]Average Odds (decimal)[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] 2.03[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] 1.85[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] 2.26[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Average Bet Size[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] $ 14.38[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] $ 18.22[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"] $ 9.46[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

279. A "return" of 40% is bloody good but impossible to keep in the long term/ as you place more and more bets. That return figure isn't really much to look into since it takes into account bets effectively funded by profits.

My Return on my bankroll (i.e what I've funded/ deposited out of my own back pocket) is 127%

My winning % are:

[TABLE="width: 269"]
<colgroup><col><col><col><col span="3"></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]# Bets[/TD]
[TD]% Total[/TD]
[TD]% W/L[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Won[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 157[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.3%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.5%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lost[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 121[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.4%[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43.5%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Half Payout[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] - [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Refunded[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] - [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Half Win[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] - [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Half Lose[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] - [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.0%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Push[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.4%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Total [/TD]
[TD] 279[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]100.0%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

So winning 56.5% of my bets. Most serious gamblers are happy with 53% (about 52% is break even) and 54% and 55% is a dream. So 56.5% is fucking good but only a month in.

 

Oh damn, what were they on?

I've only placed one multi so far on tennis today.

Djokovic
Berdych
Federer
Monfils
Murray
Ferrer
Wawrinka

@4.40 odds - pretty risky multi but figured I'd chuck a 10er on it given the profit levels. Some really good games tonight so will probably be hitting single bets up mainly but will wait inplay for them.

 

Ended up chucking a 10er on her to win and $15 on her to win the 1st set which she's done 6-0! So even if she goes on to lose this match I've profited from her.