Rego's Betting Thread

Decent for cricket, I haven't had as much success with cricket but I already knew that wasn't as massive of a strength area, more the odd punt on games I'm watching.

My winning % are:

NBA 59.7%
Rugby Union 100%
Cricket 51.5%
Tennis 64.8%

 

William Hill are offering a $10 free in-play bet when you bet $20 pre-game on the Kyrios v Berdych match - which imo is the game of the night. Honestly could go either way but have swayed for Berdych - Kyrios is less likely to win if it goes into 5 sets (which it could) and is still a bit raw. Given the offer I've gone with Berdych to win and both players to win a set special to return $2.25. A less risky option would be just playing the match bet which is at good odds either way (Kyrios is paying $2.20, Berdych is paying $1.67). I've gone for a little higher risk given I'll have that $10 free bet inplay to use.

 

I've made a couple already:

6 Fold: - Have just slapped a fiver on this one, given that I've included Berdych in it who I already have that $20 on and won't be able to catch a few of these games.

Berdych @1.67
Cilic @ 1.33
Tsonga @ 1.10
Federer @ 1.10
Simon @ 1.14
Djokovic @ 1.01

Multi odds: @ 3.10

5 Fold

Same as above excluding Berdych

Multi odds: @ $1.86

That's all I've gone with tonight as I'll be watching the Black Caps and then the Berdych game. Could probably make doubles and what have you out of those picks for sure. All I'll say for Round 3 is stay the fuck away from the Women and doubles matches. Most are really 50/50 bets despite the odds. Also stay away from the Cilic bet if you don't like the matches potentially going into a 5th, reckon that one could be a bit more of a rollercoaster but Cilic should get the job done (one way or another).

 

Yeah that works better as he was at slightly higher odds. I just chuck bets like Djokovic in to get higher acca bonuses.

 

Hahaha so apparently William Hill weren't meant to offer this to NZ/ Aus customers and since I didn't get the free bet I contacted them, after a lot of waiting on them trying to figure it out - I found the promotion in my phone's history - instead of me getting the $10 in play bet, not only am I getting a $10 free bet (can be used for anything) but I'm getting $20 credit back as a goodwill gesture since I said I wouldn't have placed the $20 bet if it wasn't for the promotion (which is true, I'd have just taken Berdych to win rather than Berdych to win and Kyrios to win at least a set). Berdych is looking good to win as expected but tbh could do it in 3 sets so this is awesome news, profit no matter what happens

 

Heh probably should have had a bet which didn't have Cilic in it and no doubt would have if I was gonna be betting big or watching all the matches- knew it was gonna be a roller coaster ride (which I guess it was) but Cilic losing crucial points to lose all 3 sets was no good. Don't really care though, got more than my money back on that Berdych bet (which was my main bet) and Kyrios has double broken in the 3rd so looking good for that bet to win, so profit both side of things - the Black Caps won too so won $60 on that one too. Did you end up hitting the Berdych game up with a bet [MENTION=52]Gazza[/MENTION]? That's where the money is.

 

There we go Kyrios wins the 3rd, 2-1 to Berdych, just need Berdych to go and win now

 

Cheers Berdych

Hit the Free bet up for Berdych to win the 4th set which he just won, that pre game bet wins (Berdych to win and Kyrios to win at least a set) and put an extra $16 for Berdych to win the 4th given I got $20 back from William Hill's fuck up which won. Goooood night boys.

 

Big betting day for the Aus Open tomorrow. Lots of profit to be had, singles included. Will post my tips/ bets tomorrow morning, play or fade them as you wish.

 

I've had a ten man acca over the course of the two days

Nishikori
Tsonga
Federer
Djokovic 3-0
Berdych
Tomic
Isner
Murray 3-0
Wawrinka
Raonic

£10 pays around £95 with the bonus on bet365

 

Solid bet that.

Loving my end of night bets - here's last night's, I will admit I was a lil drunk but was a safe bet:

 

Today's bets/ advice:

If you're looking for a relatively safe multi, go with this:

4-Fold
Raonic @ 1.22
Ferrer @ 1.17
Wawrinka @1.08
Murray @ 1.02

Multi odds @1.58 - Could probably swap Tomic (@1.14) for Raonic or Ferrer if you'd rather take him over them.

Some good value in Isner if you want to hit him up for a single or include him in riskier Multis. I haven't put any money on him yet but probably will, maybe in-play will provide some more value too.

Stay away from the Sela game imo, reckon Kuznetsov is at too low of odds to see value in that (seems a bit more risky)

Annnnd if you're looking for a big mutli to chuck a few dollars on (or more) this would be your best bet:

7-fold
Isner @ 1.50
Raonic @ 1.22
Ferrer @ 1.17
Tomic @ 1.14
Wawrinka @ 1.08
Monfils @ 1.08
Murray @ 1.02

Multi odds: @ 2.93

And as per usual there's a flurry of good smaller multis you could make up out of those tips and still reasonable odds. As per usual, always good value in-play so if you know even a little bit about tennis don't be afraid to hit in-play bets up, I remember giving some advice in that $10 bet challenge thread [MENTION=52]Gazza[/MENTION] made regarding tennis inplay bets and what to look for, so check that out. I bet most and thus make most of my money from in-play tennis bets.

These are my pre game v inplay Aus Open bet stats so far:

[TABLE="width: 372"]
<colgroup><col span="2"><col><col span="2"></colgroup><tbody>[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Total Bets[/TD]
[TD]Net Profit[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2"]Return[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]In-Play[/TD]
[TD] $ 807.99[/TD]
[TD] $ 221.18[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: right"]27.37%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Pre-game[/TD]
[TD] $ 181.73[/TD]
[TD] $ 12.93[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 2, align: right"]7.11%[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

4am here and staying up for the Isner match. He did well to win the second set as Lopez looked all over him early in the set. Destroyed him in the third with a double break of serve

 

Yeah was neck and neck in the first and Lopez clinched it in the tie breaker, much to Isner's digust but he's picked himself up from there. Chucked $30 @ 2.00 odds on Isner after he lost the 1st set, so that's looking good and the multis are looking good too (yours included)

 

That'll do Isner, lad

Stan is 2-0 up with a break, so that should come in.

Just need Murray 3-0 and Tomic. Probably best I get some sleep

 

Ignore the Stan a break up in the 3rd. Read it wrong on Flashscores

 

Cheers Isner, pocketed me $40 ($20 @ 1.5 prior and the $30 @ 2.00 in play). Let's hope mine and your remaining bets get up [MENTION=1303]mouse[/MENTION]!!! looking very good to!!

Both multis looking good too - the safer one I mentioned, I put $38.77 on, Raonic's already won, Stan's looking good to win, Ferrer's up 1-0 and then just the Murray game to go. The bigger multi I chucked $10 on is also looking the goods now that Isner has won too. Profit levels are over $400 now (nearing $500) for the year. If I keep this profit rate up, I'll have a good sum come year end.....will probably treat myself and go to the Aus Open next year, always been a goal and seems appropriate to use the profit on - long way to go still, at the end of the day it's all in good fun. Will also have a good bank roll come Super Rugby season