Betting thread

Discussion in 'Betting, Tipping and Fantasy' started by mouse, May 23, 2009.

Page 112 of 118

  1. Lukic L Popovic

    Gonna try fibonacci betting on NRL, AFL, Football etc in the future

    For NRL/AFL, I'm using Ladbrokes. The line pays $1.92 for both sides, indicating a 52.08% win-rate is required. This means the default unit I use is going to be $1.04 (to win $2).

    I'll pick the team I think will win as opposed to just going all home/all away to maximise expected outcome to at least equal the required win rate based on my pick being a better than 50% chance of winning.

    Going to bet in a 1, 2, 4, 8 sequence.

    So I'll start with $5.20 on the Roosters -8.5 vs the Tigers. If that fails $10.40 on the Raiders -4. If the Roosters win however, it'll be $5.20 again on the Raiders.

    I've currently got $500 in my account. On this bet pattern, for the $500 to be used up:

    5.20, 10.40, 20.80, 41.60, 83.20, 166.40

    or otherwise $327.6

    Assuming I can pick at a 52% rate, this means my chances of losing are 48% on each bet.

    0.48^6 = 1.22%

    Essentially there's a 1/83 chance I reach that point from each fresh start.

    Obviously beyond that I'd re-invest and keep going because I'll eventually get it right.

    But anyway this is just an experiment to see how I go. At most I'll expect to walk away with like a profit of $50-100 at the end of the year, but if all goes well I'll increase the limits for next year.
     
    Lukic, May 7, 2015
    #2221

  2. El Nino J Torres

    I really like the cash out on multi's function
     
    El Nino, May 7, 2015
    #2222

  3. El Nino J Torres

    Although in the last two days I've had the last leg of a 7 leg and a 10 leg multi lose and haven't cashed out ,and they've been overnight so couldn't hedge either :(
     
    El Nino, May 7, 2015
    #2223

  4. Harry Sack SB Slippy

    Lol, this. Had a 10(?) leg multi going the other day. Odds of around 40-1....fuck you Bernard Tomic. Playing some cunt that's ranked like 120 and you bend over and get sausaged first round.
     
    Harry Sack, May 8, 2015
    #2224

  5. Rego RS Hutchinson

    Tomic is so unpredictable still, very inconsistent.
     
    Rego, May 8, 2015
    #2225

  6. Jake A Pimpkins

    got $550 of arbitrage bets on tomorrows afl, will profit $171 regardless of who wins

    happy days
     
    Jake, May 8, 2015
    #2226

  7. Storer BA Storer

    Storms chances to win 13+ Against the eels?
     
    Storer, May 10, 2015
    #2227

  8. MightyPies DA Alessi

    Thoughts on the NRL tonight?
     
    MightyPies, May 11, 2015
    #2228

  9. MightyPies DA Alessi

    Just nailed Washington Caps v NYR in NHL Over 5.0 & New York Red Bulls to win. Nice little multi paying $4.??

    Whoever decided the line for the Washington v NYR game was 5.0 is kidding themselves. Was always going to over.
     
    MightyPies, May 11, 2015
    #2229

  10. MightyPies DA Alessi

    Got the rest of the NRL games at the line. Put $10 on it for a laugh. Got the first two tonight
     

    Attached Files:

    MightyPies, May 16, 2015
    #2230

  11. Storer BA Storer

    Got a punters club at work going. After being down $280 a week ago we are now +$80.

    any tips on easy wins??
     
    Storer, May 16, 2015
    #2231

  12. MightyPies DA Alessi

    Put a multi on MLB. Two games to go over 7.5 runs. They hit 8 by the top of the 5th :laugh:

    Easy moneeeeey!
     
    MightyPies, May 20, 2015
    #2232

  13. BigGuns DA Astele

    Getting back into some punting again. Got my bet365 going, try some multi's and a version of that bet 90.
     
    BigGuns, May 20, 2015
    #2233

  14. Julian BJ Taylor

    Another win on Boban!

    Fuck I've won some money on that horse.
     
    Julian, May 23, 2015
    #2234

  15. Harry Sack SB Slippy

    Boban and La Amistad for me today!
     
    Harry Sack, May 23, 2015
    #2235

  16. Jager LO Townsend

    I just won $50 on the Norwich v Middlesborough playoff game. However, as I'm not a frequent gambler, I withdrew my winnings through PayPal. Does that mean it transfers straight into my PayPal linked account or does it sit in the PayPal account itself? Either way, it's not there, but I'm assuming it takes a couple of days regardless.

    Any pointers would be great
     
    Jager, May 26, 2015
    #2236

  17. Jake A Pimpkins

    sits in paypal where you then can withdraw it to your bank
     
    Jake, May 26, 2015
    #2237

  18. Jager LO Townsend

    Thanks mate, appreciate it.
     
    Jager, May 26, 2015
    #2238

  19. MightyPies DA Alessi

    Duckworth cost me $350 last night the little prick.
     
    MightyPies, May 27, 2015
    #2239

  20. Boobidy BJ Gemmell

    Blake Shinn is in golden form of late. I try to bet on all his races. He won 4 times last Saturday.

    He run home a $20 winner for me today.
     
    Boobidy, May 27, 2015
    #2240
Page 112 of 118

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