S4, Regional Tournament: Great Britain vs. New Zealand (vBookie)

Discussion in 'Matches' started by HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 18, 2013.

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  1. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Great Britain

    1. Os Du Toit
    2. Eddie Morris
    3. David Dafter
    4. Sam Verigotta (c)
    5. James McDougal
    6. Simon Laing
    7. Callum Laing
    8. Marcuss Deane

    9. Ben Hornby
    10. Jake Luffman (k)
    11. Al Farnsworth
    12. Ed Ames
    13. Sam Graham
    14. Jordan Logan
    15. Bobby Blunder

    Substitutes
    16. Jonny Ridd
    17. Oukoudu Gbagbo
    18. Bruce Force
    19. Zinzan Brumby
    20. Chad Dyer
    21. Chris Warrington
    22. Ginger Furball

    New Zealand

    1 Joshua Ritchie
    2 Alan Izett
    3 Volt Man
    4 Jason Denton
    5 Heath Davis
    6 Seige Morgan
    7 Simon Humble*
    8 Dexter Astele
    9 Sam Bakkum
    10 Matthew Scoble
    11 Matt Dorn
    12 Sam Somerset
    13 Gareth Weaver
    14 Lucas Schaw
    15 Regan Hutchinson

    16 Chris Smith
    17 James Torres
    18 Mike Martyn
    19 Cr' Hurricane
    20 Geoff Smith
    21 Damien Taylor
    22 Sticky Phelgm
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 18, 2013
    #1

  2. Skippos SM Morgan

    in fiery's absence

    FIRE UP BLACK
     
    Skippos, Feb 18, 2013
    #2

  3. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Those odds are pretty fucking ugly. Would be a massive shock to get up here.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 18, 2013
    #3

  4. Jabba HJ Bots

    Why are they so bad?

    Are they "that" much better or is it because of the out of position players
     
    Jabba, Feb 18, 2013
    #4

  5. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Their weakest link is either Hornby or du Toit.

    Ours could be Volt Man (better than his stats suggest, IMO), Astele, Scoble or Somerset. They just have more quality.

    If we had Heads in the centres it would make a difference. In terms of the odds calculator, we'd also be better off playing Taylor (for Dorn) and Hurricane (for Astele, probably). Just because the odds would be better doesn't necessarily mean we'd be better off though as you're thinking about your line-up more than some selectors tbf.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 18, 2013
    #5

  6. Howe JHF Howe

    Should just throw this game in order to face the weaker side in the final
     
    Howe, Feb 18, 2013
    #6

  7. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Things that Australians would say #521
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 18, 2013
    #7

  8. Choco C Man

    Got faith in the Kiwis.
     
    Choco, Feb 18, 2013
    #8

  9. Starris ER Starris

    Lets go NZ!!!
     
    Starris, Feb 18, 2013
    #9

  10. Zakaron SDR Laing

    Carn GB smash the fuckers!!.
     
    Zakaron, Feb 18, 2013
    #10

  11. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    This, tonight.

    9am GMT/10pm NZT.

    Stats will probably be up in the morning NZT. Trying to make the time more palatable for the home team.
     
    Last edited: Feb 20, 2013
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 20, 2013
    #11

  12. Cribbage RG Cribb

    This post tends to suggest that New Zealand are paying overs, even if they are likely to lose.

    Still, Seasonal Rugby books are very bookie-biased so I'm not going to bet. :p
     
    Cribbage, Feb 20, 2013
    #12

  13. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    I run a very low book percentage tbf. What do you want me to do? Run it at less than 100%? I average out at less than 110%; which is less than the industry standard for Union.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 20, 2013
    #13

  14. Baxter MJ Deane

    Chances of me reverting back to the norm vs continuing to shunt it?
     
    Baxter, Feb 20, 2013
    #14

  15. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    No idea. But it is a concern, I have to say.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 20, 2013
    #15

  16. Cribbage RG Cribb

    Hmm, looking at the odds you've got there, you're right. Did you run a less favourable book when it was your own vCash or something? Had it in my head that SR games weren't worth betting on for some reason.
     
    Cribbage, Feb 20, 2013
    #16

  17. HeathDavisSpeed HT Davis

    Haha. Yeah - certainly for the more exotic bet types. But that, again, is pretty standard that the more exotic and risky the option, the higher the percentage. And yeah, when it was my vCash, I was always worried about running out of it so I ran it more like a proper bookmaker would. I used to move the prices all the time, depending on the weight of money etc. I don't bother with that now.
     
    HeathDavisSpeed, Feb 20, 2013
    #17

  18. Baxter MJ Deane

    Don't remind me :sad:
     
    Baxter, Feb 20, 2013
    #18

  19. Cribbage RG Cribb

    My form's gone down the toilet in the last couple of games after being ridiculously good all season too; bad signs for the Spartans.
     
    Cribbage, Feb 20, 2013
    #19

  20. Eds E Ames

    Brumby's been oddly incredible whenever he's played, as well.

    @Marcuss
     
    Last edited: Feb 20, 2013
    Eds, Feb 20, 2013
    #20
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