It'll be starting pretty soon, and given it's based on Season 9 + Season 10 activity which is such a big number, I don't think you could get up that high in time even if you completely maximised your activity. And I know you'll sleep, eat and at least have some sort of life so that isn't going to happen anyway.
... If I wanted to give an exact number, I would've then. I'm not going to tell you - that makes it too easy.
Small skill loss. But I really should be batting at 6,7 or 8. Which means it'll be a bit more than 'small', yes?