I can think we can cause another upset. If we do, we qualify for the finals directly, if we don't then we have to play a semis probably against Queensland again.
That's a minimum of two out of three games we're going to have to win, one of which will be against NSW in the finals (assuming we make it) who whipped us by an innings in the first game.
If that happens, and either Qld or NZ don't get full points, then it's going to come down to quotients, which someone is going to have to calculate
Qld need to beat Asia and they're in Asia need to get 1st innings points, or hope NSW don't win and NZ don't pick up full points (depending on quotient though) NSW need to win, or hope Asia win and NZ don't get full points. NZ need to win, and hope NSW lose. Probably best if Asia beat Qld also.